| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 76.8% | 78% | -0.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.4% | 24.5% |
| logistic | 78.4% | 21.6% |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1514 | 1380 |
| Surface Elo | 1514 | 1380 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 20 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | Ignacio Monzon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Ryo Tabata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Pedro Sakamoto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Boris Arias | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 09 Nov 06:15 |