OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Salford 2.60 2 - 1 0.40 Crawley Town
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 57.8%74%-16.6%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 85.0%94%-8.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 79.0%91%-11.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.2%68%-12.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 50.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson57.9%23.4%18.7%
xgboost64.5%23.3%12.1%
logistic62.0%25.0%13.0%
Inputs the models saw
SalfordCrawley Town
Elo (pre-match)15431326
Surface Elo15431326
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.600.40
Form trend-0.400.00
Season points per game1.900.63
Season goals for / game1.501.00
Season goals against / game1.001.88
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Salford: last 5
10 OctACheltenham2 - 0W
10 OctACheltenham2 - 0W
06 OctAAccrington1 - 1D
03 OctHFleetwood Town1 - 0W
03 OctHFleetwood Town1 - 0W
Crawley Town: last 5
10 OctHChesterfield2 - 2D
10 OctHChesterfield2 - 2D
06 OctHBromley4 - 0W
22 SepAMilton Keynes Dons1 - 4L
19 SepAGrimsby0 - 2L
Head to head
02 May 2026Crawley Town0 - 0Salford
29 Nov 2025Salford4 - 3Crawley Town
13 Jan 2024Crawley Town0 - 1Salford
12 Aug 2023Salford1 - 1Crawley Town
28 Jan 2023Crawley Town3 - 2Salford
03 Sep 2022Salford2 - 2Crawley Town
29 Mar 2022Salford2 - 1Crawley Town
17 Aug 2021Crawley Town2 - 1Salford
09 Mar 2021Crawley Town1 - 0Salford
24 Oct 2020Salford1 - 1Crawley Town
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away6.5015.4%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw4.7521.1%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.3773.0%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4867.6%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.6038.5%17 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away7.4013.5%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.3018.9%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3673.5%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4967.1%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.6038.5%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:52 UTC