| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.5% | 50% | +3.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 65.4% | 34.5% |
| logistic | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| Clement Chidekh | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1800 | 1823 |
| Surface Elo | 1800 | 1823 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Jacob Fearnley | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Hugo Gaston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Hugo Gaston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Luca Nardi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | Jacob Fearnley |
| 16 Feb 2026 | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 1 | Jacob Fearnley |
| 10 Jun 2024 | Clement Chidekh | 1 - 2 | Jacob Fearnley |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.85 | 54.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |