OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-26
⚽ Primeira Liga · Monday 26 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Santa Clara 2.20 1 - 2 2.40 Benfica
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 58.0%73%-14.7%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 83.9%95%-10.8%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 77.6%92%-14.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 55.9%51%+5.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 52.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson16.8%22.2%61.0%
xgboost20.5%27.4%52.1%
logistic12.6%22.3%65.1%
Inputs the models saw
Santa ClaraBenfica
Elo (pre-match)15951855
Surface Elo15951855
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.202.40
Form trend-0.200.30
Season points per game2.252.38
Season goals for / game1.503.00
Season goals against / game0.500.88
Rest days1615
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W8 W · 2 D
Santa Clara: last 5
18 OctACD Mafra2 - 2D
11 OctHAlcochetense2 - 0W
10 OctACasa Pia1 - 0W
10 OctACasa Pia1 - 0W
04 OctHReal SC Queluz1 - 1D
Benfica: last 5
24 OctAFeirense0 - 0D
22 OctAAC Omonia Nicosia4 - 1W
15 OctHCeltic4 - 1W
12 OctHFC Felgueiras 19321 - 0W
11 OctHGuimaraes2 - 0W
Head to head
13 Feb 2026Santa Clara1 - 2Benfica
12 Sep 2025Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
15 Feb 2025Santa Clara0 - 1Benfica
14 Sep 2024Benfica4 - 1Santa Clara
27 May 2023Benfica3 - 0Santa Clara
21 Jan 2023Santa Clara0 - 3Benfica
12 Feb 2022Benfica2 - 1Santa Clara
11 Sep 2021Santa Clara0 - 5Benfica
26 Apr 2021Benfica2 - 1Santa Clara
04 Jan 2021Santa Clara1 - 1Benfica
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.3773.0%26 Oct 18:45
Bet3651X2draw4.7521.1%26 Oct 18:45
Bet3651X2home7.5013.3%26 Oct 18:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6261.7%26 Oct 18:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2544.4%26 Oct 18:45
SportyBet1X2away1.4170.9%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.9520.2%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home8.2812.1%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8653.8%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9950.2%26 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC