| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.2% | 75% | +2.0% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.2% | 32.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.7% | 29.2% |
| logistic | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Marcos Giron | Abdullah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1696 | 1539 |
| Surface Elo | 1696 | 1539 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Justin Boulais | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Dylan Dietrich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | H | Harry Wendelken | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Michael Antonius | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Michael Antonius | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Wolf, Jeffrey John | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | J.J. Wolf | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |