OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Scottish League Two · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Stirling 0.80 2 - 1 1.20 Kelty Hearts
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.6%42%+7.5%✓ hit
DCHome or away 77.0%82%-5.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 61.9%57%+5.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.4%62%-3.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson50.3%21.8%27.9%
xgboost43.2%22.6%34.2%
logistic32.7%28.4%38.9%
Inputs the models saw
StirlingKelty Hearts
Elo (pre-match)13081381
Surface Elo13081381
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.20
Form trend-0.70-0.30
Season points per game0.891.33
Season goals for / game1.221.44
Season goals against / game2.442.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W5 W · 2 D
Stirling: last 5
03 OctAAnnan Athletic1 - 0W
03 OctAAnnan Athletic1 - 0W
22 SepHCumbernauld Colts FC1 - 1D
19 SepHClyde1 - 1D
19 SepHClyde1 - 1D
Kelty Hearts: last 5
03 OctASpartans2 - 0W
03 OctASpartans2 - 0W
26 SepHMontrose2 - 1W
22 SepHHeart of Midlothian FC3 - 5L
19 SepHEdinburgh City1 - 3L
Head to head
08 Aug 2026Kelty Hearts3 - 2Stirling
13 Apr 2024Kelty Hearts1 - 0Stirling
27 Jan 2024Stirling5 - 0Kelty Hearts
28 Oct 2023Kelty Hearts1 - 0Stirling
26 Aug 2023Stirling1 - 0Kelty Hearts
09 Apr 2022Kelty Hearts1 - 1Stirling
08 Jan 2022Stirling0 - 3Kelty Hearts
30 Oct 2021Kelty Hearts1 - 1Stirling
07 Aug 2021Stirling1 - 3Kelty Hearts
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.7037.0%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.2045.5%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6261.7%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2544.4%10 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.5539.2%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4041.7%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6162.1%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:20 UTC