| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.4% | 78% | -23.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.3% | 95% | -16.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.6% | 93% | -21.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.2% | 62% | +2.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 62.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.8% | 28.8% | 17.4% |
| xgboost | 41.9% | 20.3% | 37.9% |
| logistic | 69.8% | 20.0% | 10.2% |
| Besiktas | Kocaelispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1668 | 1540 |
| Surface Elo | 1668 | 1540 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 20 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Amedspor | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Erzurumspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Fenerbahce | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Corum | 6 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Gaziantep | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Gaziantep | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Galatasaray | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Samsunspor | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Konyaspor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Kocaelispor | 0 - 1 | Besiktas |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Besiktas | 3 - 1 | Kocaelispor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 10.28 | 9.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.83 | 17.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |