| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.5% | 23% | +18.8% | |
| DC | Home or away | 72.6% | 79% | -6.6% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.0% | 30% | +23.8% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 58% | -3.2% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.6% | 29.5% | 35.9% |
| xgboost | 38.6% | 27.4% | 34.0% |
| logistic | 36.7% | 32.8% | 30.5% |
| Amorebieta | Logrones | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1457 | 1405 |
| Surface Elo | 1457 | 1405 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 878 | 1976 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | SD Gernika Club | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Rayo Cantabria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Jun | A | Mirandes | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 May | H | Espanol | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 May | A | Tenerife | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Real Aviles CF | 3 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Cultural Leonesa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Terrassa FC | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Naxara CD | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Oct | A | Lugo | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.77 | 56.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.40 | 22.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 28 Oct 06:15 |