| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.2% | 40% | +2.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 73.8% | 70% | +3.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.0% | 57% | +2.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 50% | +10.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.2% | 27.9% | 42.9% |
| xgboost | 24.1% | 41.4% | 34.4% |
| logistic | 32.1% | 28.6% | 39.3% |
| Angers | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1666 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1666 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Marseille | 2 - 5 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Marseille | 2 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Brest | 1 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Brest | 1 - 5 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Troyes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Monaco | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Monaco | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Paris FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Paris FC | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Le Mans | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Lorient | 2 - 0 | Angers |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Angers | 2 - 0 | Lorient |
| 05 Feb 2023 | Lorient | 0 - 0 | Angers |
| 01 Jan 2023 | Angers | 1 - 2 | Lorient |
| 16 Jan 2022 | Lorient | 0 - 0 | Angers |
| 21 Nov 2021 | Angers | 1 - 0 | Lorient |
| 02 May 2021 | Lorient | 2 - 0 | Angers |
| 06 Dec 2020 | Angers | 2 - 0 | Lorient |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.47 | 40.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.38 | 29.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.03 | 33.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.82 | 54.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |