| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 44.1% | 38% | +5.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.8% | 80% | -3.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.1% | 52% | +2.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 61% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.5% | 26.2% | 34.3% |
| xgboost | 31.1% | 23.7% | 45.2% |
| logistic | 36.2% | 25.8% | 38.0% |
| Scunthorpe | Woking | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1406 | 1436 |
| Surface Elo | 1406 | 1436 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 3 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Derby | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Fylde | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Fylde | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Barrow | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 2 - 3 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Leicester | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Harrogate | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Harrogate | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Woking | 1 - 2 | Scunthorpe |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Scunthorpe | 3 - 1 | Woking |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Scunthorpe | 0 - 2 | Woking |
| 16 Aug 2022 | Woking | 2 - 0 | Scunthorpe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |