| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 76.0% | 81% | -5.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 16.4% | 83.6% |
| logistic | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Hugo Grenier | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1555 | 1773 |
| Surface Elo | 1555 | 1773 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.13 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Bruno Pujol Navarro | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | August Holmgren | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | August Holmgren | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Karen Khachanov | 0 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Benjamin Bonzi | 2 - 1 | Hugo Grenier |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Benjamin Bonzi | 2 - 1 | Hugo Grenier |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.25 | 80.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |