| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.9% | 69% | -11.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.2% | 64.7% |
| logistic | 38.8% | 61.2% |
| Jesse Flores | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1431 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1431 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 797 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Aug | H | Kiranpal Pannu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jul | H | Ryan Nijboer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | A | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | A | James Mackinlay | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Henri Laaksonen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | H | Pavel Kotov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | A | Florent Bax | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | H | Iiro Vasa | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |