| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.5% | 67% | -6.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| logistic | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Alina Korneeva | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1576 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1576 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Maya Joint | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Taylah Preston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Darya Astakhova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Madison Keys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Alina Korneeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Panna Udvardy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Aug | A | Anna Blinkova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Karolina Muchova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Alina Korneeva | 2 - 0 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 20 Sep 06:16 |