| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.1% | 38% | +8.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 75% | -0.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 58.7% | 52% | +6.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 62% | -2.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.3% | 28.2% | 37.5% |
| xgboost | 40.2% | 30.3% | 29.5% |
| logistic | 44.4% | 24.3% | 31.4% |
| Como | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1790 | 1838 |
| Surface Elo | 1790 | 1838 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Frosinone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Parma | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Genoa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Napoli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Udinese | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Inter | 2 - 2 | D |
| 14 Sep | A | Torino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Lecce | 4 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Fiorentina | 4 - 0 | W |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Como | 2 - 1 | Roma |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Roma | 1 - 0 | Como |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Roma | 2 - 1 | Como |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Como | 2 - 0 | Roma |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.67 | 37.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.63 | 27.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.64 | 37.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |