| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.4% | 40% | +3.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 71.8% | 75% | -3.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 57.4% | 57% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 45% | +6.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.8% | 31.5% | 34.8% |
| xgboost | 37.8% | 27.6% | 34.6% |
| logistic | 34.1% | 29.5% | 36.3% |
| Cadiz | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1337 | 1446 |
| Surface Elo | 1337 | 1446 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Girona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Girona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Castellon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Castellon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | AD Cala Pozuelo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Granada | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Granada | 3 - 2 | W |
| 24 May 2026 | Cadiz | 3 - 0 | Leganes |
| 22 Aug 2025 | Leganes | 1 - 1 | Cadiz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.61 | 62.1% | 02 Oct 06:15 |