| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.1% | 39.8% |
| logistic | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Taylor Fritz | Denis Shapovalov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1979 | 1887 |
| Surface Elo | 1979 | 1887 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Rinky Hijikata | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Remy Bertola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Mar 2025 | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 03 Feb 2025 | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| 20 Mar 2023 | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 27 Feb 2023 | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 24 Oct 2022 | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| 03 Oct 2022 | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 27 Sep 2021 | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | Taylor Fritz |
| 08 Mar 2021 | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 31 Aug 2020 | Denis Shapovalov | 3 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 19 Feb 2018 | Denis Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | Taylor Fritz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||