| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.7% | 43% | +10.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 40.7% | 59.3% |
| logistic | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Trevor Svajda | Andres Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1598 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1598 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 5 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Andy Andrade | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Erik Arutiunian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Agustin Gomez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Erik Arutiunian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Lautaro Midon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 29 Sep 06:15 |