| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.7% | 64% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 58.3% | 27.0% |
| xgboost | 71.0% | 27.9% |
| logistic | 60.1% | 39.9% |
| Edmonton Oilers | Calgary Flames | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1512 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1512 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.45 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.33 | 2.55 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.58 | 3.73 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Toronto Maple Leafs | 2 - 7 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 6 - 5 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 4 - 3 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 6 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 - 2 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Detroit Red Wings | 4 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 3 - 2 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 6 | L |
| 05 Feb 2026 | Calgary Flames | 4 - 3 | Edmonton Oilers |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Calgary Flames | 3 - 2 | Edmonton Oilers |
| 24 Dec 2025 | Edmonton Oilers | 5 - 1 | Calgary Flames |
| 09 Oct 2025 | Edmonton Oilers | 3 - 4 | Calgary Flames |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Edmonton Oilers | 3 - 2 | Calgary Flames |
| 04 Nov 2024 | Calgary Flames | 2 - 4 | Edmonton Oilers |
| 14 Oct 2024 | Edmonton Oilers | 1 - 4 | Calgary Flames |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.56 | 64.1% | 28 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.61 | 38.3% | 28 Oct 19:20 |