| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 40.6% | 41% | -0.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 72.5% | 76% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.1% | 56% | -0.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 58% | +0.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.9% | 26.2% | 28.9% |
| xgboost | 33.6% | 31.2% | 35.2% |
| logistic | 36.6% | 30.0% | 33.4% |
| St Johnstone | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1669 | 1644 |
| Surface Elo | 1669 | 1644 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 7 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 4 W · 5 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Kilmarnock | 2 - 2 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Kilmarnock | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Oct | H | Motherwell | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Oct | H | Motherwell | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Rangers | 0 - 4 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Kilmarnock | 3 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Kilmarnock | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | St Mirren | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | St Mirren | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Rangers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 02 Sep 2026 | Dundee | 1 - 1 | St Johnstone |
| 18 May 2025 | St Johnstone | 0 - 2 | Dundee |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Dundee | 1 - 1 | St Johnstone |
| 05 Jan 2025 | St Johnstone | 1 - 3 | Dundee |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Dundee | 1 - 2 | St Johnstone |
| 30 Mar 2024 | St Johnstone | 1 - 2 | Dundee |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Dundee | 2 - 1 | St Johnstone |
| 02 Sep 2023 | St Johnstone | 2 - 2 | Dundee |
| 23 Apr 2022 | Dundee | 1 - 1 | St Johnstone |
| 26 Jan 2022 | St Johnstone | 0 - 0 | Dundee |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.79 | 35.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.56 | 28.1% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.49 | 40.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |