OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
⚽ Italy Serie A · Sunday 25 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Inter 2.60 2 - 1 0.80 Fiorentina
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 70.9%74%-2.6%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 91.5%91%+1.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 89.5%88%+1.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 67.9%70%-2.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson74.0%15.8%10.3%
xgboost76.3%15.6%8.1%
logistic79.1%15.2%5.6%
Inputs the models saw
InterFiorentina
Elo (pre-match)19301616
Surface Elo19301616
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.600.80
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game3.000.00
Season goals for / game3.001.00
Season goals against / game0.502.50
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W2 W · 2 D
Inter: last 5
24 OctHASD Sorrento 19451 - 1D
21 OctHShakhtar D1 - 0W
17 OctABologna3 - 1W
17 OctABologna3 - 1W
17 OctHSS Monopoli2 - 4L
Fiorentina: last 5
18 OctHComo1 - 3L
18 OctHComo1 - 3L
10 OctAGenoa1 - 2L
10 OctAGenoa1 - 2L
20 SepHNapoli1 - 1D
Head to head
22 Mar 2026Fiorentina1 - 1Inter
29 Oct 2025Inter3 - 0Fiorentina
10 Feb 2025Inter2 - 1Fiorentina
06 Feb 2025Fiorentina3 - 0Inter
28 Jan 2024Fiorentina0 - 1Inter
03 Sep 2023Inter4 - 0Fiorentina
01 Apr 2023Inter0 - 1Fiorentina
22 Oct 2022Fiorentina3 - 4Inter
19 Mar 2022Inter1 - 1Fiorentina
21 Sep 2021Fiorentina1 - 3Inter
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away7.9812.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.8917.0%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3673.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4270.4%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.9034.5%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC