| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.8% | 54% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.6% | 81% | -5.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 63.3% | 73% | -9.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 58% | +2.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.9% | 28.9% | 39.2% |
| xgboost | 25.9% | 20.5% | 53.6% |
| logistic | 28.3% | 30.7% | 41.0% |
| Eyupspor | Goztep | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1466 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1466 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.33 | 1.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.67 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 3 D |
| 20 Sep | A | Fenerbahce | 0 - 8 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Fenerbahce | 0 - 8 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Rizespor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Corum | 0 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Alanyaspor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Rizespor | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Alanyaspor | 2 - 2 | D |
| 07 Sep | H | Gaziantep | 2 - 4 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Galatasaray | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | Genclerbirligi | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Goztep | 0 - 0 | Eyupspor |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Eyupspor | 0 - 0 | Goztep |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Goztep | 1 - 1 | Eyupspor |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Eyupspor | 1 - 0 | Goztep |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.71 | 58.5% | 12 Oct 18:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 12 Oct 18:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 12 Oct 18:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 12 Oct 18:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 12 Oct 18:00 |