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Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-05

🎾 tennis_atp_japan_open · Monday 05 October 2026, 09:00 UTC · scheduled

Jiri Lehecka 2.40 09:00 1.20 Valentin Vacherot

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	55.0%	67%	-11.6%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	47.5%	52.5%
logistic	61.2%	38.8%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Jiri Lehecka	Valentin Vacherot
Elo (pre-match)	1974	1836
Surface Elo	1974	1836
Form, last 5 (PPG)	2.40	1.20
Form trend	-0.30	-0.90
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	1	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	1 W · 0 D

Jiri Lehecka: last 5

05 Oct	H	Valentin Vacherot	2 - 0	W
04 Oct	H	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2 - 0	W
04 Oct	A	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2 - 0	W
03 Oct	A	Ugo Humbert	2 - 1	W
03 Oct	H	Ugo Humbert	2 - 1	W

Valentin Vacherot: last 5

05 Oct	A	Jiri Lehecka	0 - 2	L
04 Oct	H	Arthur Fils	2 - 1	W
04 Oct	A	Arthur Fils	2 - 1	W
02 Oct	A	Stefanos Tsitsipas	2 - 1	W
30 Sep	H	Alexander Blockx	2 - 0	W

Head to head

05 Oct 2026	Jiri Lehecka	2 - 0	Valentin Vacherot
27 Oct 2025	Jiri Lehecka	0 - 2	Valentin Vacherot

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
888sport	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.50	66.7%	05 Oct 06:00
888sport	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.60	38.5%	05 Oct 06:00
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.48	67.6%	05 Oct 06:00
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.60	38.5%	05 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.56	64.1%	05 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.74	36.5%	05 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Jiri Lehecka	1.58	63.3%	05 Oct 06:00
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Valentin Vacherot	2.78	36.0%	05 Oct 06:00
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.48	67.6%	05 Oct 06:00
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.80	35.7%	05 Oct 06:00
Betsson	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.48	67.6%	05 Oct 06:00
Betsson	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.60	38.5%	05 Oct 06:00
Coolbet	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.50	66.7%	05 Oct 06:00
Coolbet	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.60	38.5%	05 Oct 06:00
GTbets	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.52	65.8%	05 Oct 06:00
GTbets	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.56	39.1%	05 Oct 06:00
Marathon Bet	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.49	67.1%	05 Oct 06:00
Marathon Bet	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.60	38.5%	05 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.56	64.1%	05 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.76	36.2%	05 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Jiri Lehecka	1.57	63.7%	05 Oct 06:00
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Valentin Vacherot	2.78	36.0%	05 Oct 06:00
Nordic Bet	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.48	67.6%	05 Oct 06:00
Nordic Bet	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.60	38.5%	05 Oct 06:00
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.51	66.2%	05 Oct 06:00
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.75	36.4%	05 Oct 06:00
PMU (FR)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.43	69.9%	05 Oct 06:00
PMU (FR)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.50	40.0%	05 Oct 06:00
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.70	37.0%	05 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.50	66.7%	05 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.42	70.4%	05 Oct 06:00
Tipico	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.65	37.7%	05 Oct 06:00
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.52	65.8%	05 Oct 06:00
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.25	44.4%	05 Oct 06:00
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.49	67.1%	05 Oct 06:00
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.63	38.0%	05 Oct 06:00
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.49	67.1%	05 Oct 06:00
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.63	38.0%	05 Oct 06:00
William Hill	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.50	66.7%	05 Oct 06:00
William Hill	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.60	38.5%	05 Oct 06:00
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.50	66.7%	05 Oct 06:00
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.70	37.0%	05 Oct 06:00
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Jiri Lehecka	1.48	67.6%	05 Oct 06:00
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Valentin Vacherot	2.60	38.5%	05 Oct 06:00

Generated 2026-10-30 15:52 UTC