| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.3% | 64% | -6.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| logistic | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| Max Basing | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1604 | 1593 |
| Surface Elo | 1604 | 1593 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Mili Poljicak | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Jay Friend | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Mert Alkaya | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Max Basing | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Max Schoenhaus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Max Basing | 0 - 2 | Mili Poljicak |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 28 Sep 06:15 |