| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.5% | 60% | -0.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 63.1% | 36.8% |
| logistic | 61.3% | 38.7% |
| Tristan Boyer | Abdullah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1642 | 1519 |
| Surface Elo | 1642 | 1519 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 44 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Edward Winter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Edas Butvilas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Jul | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Jul | A | Gabriel Diallo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Michael Mmoh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Boyer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Tyler Zink | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Aug | H | Martin Damm | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Quinn Vandecasteele | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | Tristan Boyer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 16 Sep 06:15 |