OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ National League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Forest Green 1.20 2 - 4 0.00 Hartlepool
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 55.2%60%-5.2%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 79.5%85%-6.0%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 71.4%79%-7.2%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.5%64%-11.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 52.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson57.2%23.6%19.2%
xgboost51.2%24.8%24.0%
logistic58.2%24.2%17.6%
Inputs the models saw
Forest GreenHartlepool
Elo (pre-match)14821368
Surface Elo14821368
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.00
Form trend0.400.00
Season points per game1.360.75
Season goals for / game1.550.67
Season goals against / game1.641.42
Rest days107
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 2 D
Forest Green: last 5
29 SepHWealdstone1 - 1D
29 SepHWealdstone1 - 1D
26 SepASutton3 - 3D
26 SepASutton3 - 3D
19 SepHBoston Utd1 - 3L
Hartlepool: last 5
03 OctHTamworth0 - 1L
03 OctHTamworth0 - 1L
29 SepHHarrogate0 - 1L
29 SepHHarrogate0 - 1L
26 SepAScunthorpe1 - 4L
Head to head
18 Apr 2026Hartlepool2 - 1Forest Green
06 Sep 2025Forest Green1 - 0Hartlepool
05 May 2025Hartlepool1 - 1Forest Green
28 Sep 2024Forest Green1 - 0Hartlepool
09 Apr 2022Forest Green1 - 1Hartlepool
20 Nov 2021Hartlepool1 - 3Forest Green
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.5022.2%10 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2draw4.0025.0%10 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2home1.6261.7%10 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6062.5%10 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3043.5%10 Oct 17:30
SportyBet1X2away4.6021.7%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.1024.4%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6461.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5664.1%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:19 UTC