| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.1% | 51% | +1.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.5% | 80% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.0% | 70% | -0.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 57% | +2.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 57.1% | 22.5% | 20.3% |
| xgboost | 48.6% | 29.0% | 22.4% |
| logistic | 49.4% | 27.8% | 22.9% |
| Las Palmas | Sociedad B | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1509 | 1375 |
| Surface Elo | 1509 | 1375 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.90 | 2.10 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Castellon | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Castellon | 0 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Mallorca | 1 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Mallorca | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Almeria | 2 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Celta B | 1 - 4 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Granada | 2 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Ceuta | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Mallorca | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Sociedad B | 1 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 12 Sep 2025 | Las Palmas | 2 - 1 | Sociedad B |
| 30 Jan 2022 | Las Palmas | 0 - 0 | Sociedad B |
| 29 Oct 2021 | Sociedad B | 0 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 24 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 24 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 24 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 24 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 24 Oct 17:30 |