OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Scottish League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Hamilton 3.00 2 - 1 0.40 East Fife
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 66.6%76%-9.7%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 89.8%97%-6.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 87.1%94%-6.9%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.8%59%-4.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 52.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson67.4%22.0%10.6%
xgboost83.9%8.4%7.7%
logistic69.9%19.7%10.4%
Inputs the models saw
HamiltonEast Fife
Elo (pre-match)15991373
Surface Elo15991373
Form, last 5 (PPG)3.000.40
Form trend0.000.10
Season points per game2.800.82
Season goals for / game2.300.73
Season goals against / game0.301.27
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W1 W · 2 D
Hamilton: last 5
17 OctAAirdrieonians FC2 - 1W
17 OctAAirdrie Utd2 - 1W
10 OctAAlloa3 - 0W
10 OctAAlloa3 - 0W
03 OctHPeterhead2 - 1W
East Fife: last 5
17 OctHAlloa0 - 3L
17 OctHAlloa0 - 3L
10 OctACove Rangers1 - 1D
10 OctACove Rangers1 - 1D
03 OctHEast Kilbride0 - 3L
Head to head
22 Aug 2026East Fife0 - 0Hamilton
07 Mar 2026East Fife0 - 3Hamilton
17 Feb 2026Hamilton1 - 0East Fife
01 Nov 2025East Fife1 - 1Hamilton
16 Aug 2025Hamilton1 - 2East Fife
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away8.0012.5%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw4.5022.2%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.3076.9%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7058.8%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away8.4011.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.1019.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3375.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7058.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:06 UTC