OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-13

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Tuesday 13 October 2026, 11:10 UTC · scheduled

Hubert Hurkacz 1.80 11:10 1.80 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	55.2%	54%	+1.5%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	54.5%	45.4%
logistic	52.0%	48.0%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Hubert Hurkacz	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Elo (pre-match)	2021	1991
Surface Elo	2021	1991
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	1.80
Form trend	-0.90	-0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	2	2
Head-to-head (last 10)	2 W	6 W · 0 D

Hubert Hurkacz: last 5

13 Oct	A	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1 - 2	L
11 Oct	H	Yi Zhou	2 - 1	W
11 Oct	H	Yi Zhou	2 - 1	W
09 Oct	A	Novak Djokovic	2 - 0	W
09 Oct	H	Novak Djokovic	2 - 0	W

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: last 5

13 Oct	H	Hubert Hurkacz	2 - 1	W
11 Oct	H	Frances Tiafoe	2 - 1	W
11 Oct	H	Frances Tiafoe	2 - 1	W
09 Oct	H	Jenson Brooksby	2 - 0	W
09 Oct	H	Jenson Brooksby	2 - 0	W

Head to head

13 Oct 2026	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2 - 1	Hubert Hurkacz
29 Sep 2026	Hubert Hurkacz	0 - 2	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
29 Sep 2026	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2 - 0	Hubert Hurkacz
01 Jan 2024	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2 - 1	Hubert Hurkacz
27 Jun 2022	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3 - 2	Hubert Hurkacz
02 May 2022	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1 - 2	Hubert Hurkacz
16 Aug 2021	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1 - 2	Hubert Hurkacz
22 Feb 2021	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2 - 0	Hubert Hurkacz
31 Aug 2020	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3 - 1	Hubert Hurkacz

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.97	50.8%	13 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.88	53.2%	13 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.95	51.3%	13 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.85	54.0%	13 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.96	51.0%	13 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.86	53.8%	13 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2.06	48.5%	13 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.93	51.8%	13 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2.08	48.1%	13 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Hubert Hurkacz	1.94	51.5%	13 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.96	51.0%	13 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.86	53.8%	13 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.97	50.8%	13 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.84	54.4%	13 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.96	51.0%	13 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.85	54.0%	13 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2.01	49.8%	13 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.81	55.2%	13 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.97	50.8%	13 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.82	54.9%	13 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.94	51.5%	13 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.85	54.0%	13 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2.06	48.5%	13 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.93	51.8%	13 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2.08	48.1%	13 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Hubert Hurkacz	1.94	51.5%	13 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.97	50.8%	13 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.84	54.4%	13 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2.01	49.8%	13 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.90	52.6%	13 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.91	52.4%	13 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.75	57.1%	13 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.99	50.2%	13 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.86	53.8%	13 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.95	51.3%	13 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.75	57.1%	13 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.90	52.6%	13 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.78	56.2%	13 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.97	50.8%	13 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.82	54.9%	13 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.97	50.8%	13 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.82	54.9%	13 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.95	51.3%	13 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.85	54.0%	13 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2.00	50.0%	13 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.86	53.8%	13 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1.96	51.0%	13 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Hubert Hurkacz	1.84	54.4%	13 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC