| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.3% | 43% | -1.2% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 79% | -3.3% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.3% | 58% | -5.2% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 44% | +7.0% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.2% | 25.7% | 43.1% |
| xgboost | 42.9% | 25.5% | 31.5% |
| logistic | 38.7% | 29.1% | 32.1% |
| Grimsby | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1473 | 1623 |
| Surface Elo | 1473 | 1623 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Rest days | 6 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Gillingham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Gillingham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Rochdale | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Rochdale | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Northampton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Port Vale | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Port Vale | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Accrington | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |