| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.5% | 66% | -9.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| logistic | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Joao Domingues | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1391 | 1466 |
| Surface Elo | 1391 | 1466 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Andrej Martin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Vilius Gaubas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Vilius Gaubas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Michael Geerts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Joao Dinis Silva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Nicolas Ifi | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.52 | 65.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |