| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.2% | 66% | -11.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.3% | 52.6% |
| logistic | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Jelle Sels | Viktor Durasovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 1509 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 1509 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.14 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Billy Blaydes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Calvin Mueller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Adrien Gobat | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Emile Hudd | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Massard, L | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Jake Evans | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Stefano Travaglia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Christian Langmo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Stefano Travaglia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Jelle Sels | 0 - 2 | Viktor Durasovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |