OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ Greece Greece Cup · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 15:30 UTC · finished
Panathinaikos 2.40 2 - 1 2.00 Aris
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 55.9%59%-3.2%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 82.6%87%-4.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 75.4%80%-4.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.0%47%+8.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson57.1%25.6%17.3%
xgboost54.7%26.3%18.9%
logistic57.6%24.5%17.9%
Inputs the models saw
PanathinaikosAris
Elo (pre-match)17421648
Surface Elo17421648
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.00
Form trend0.00-0.80
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
Panathinaikos: last 5
25 OctAVolos NFC1 - 0W
25 OctAVolos NPS1 - 0W
22 OctAFC Kairat Almaty5 - 1W
18 OctHAsteras Tripolis5 - 1W
18 OctHAsteras Tripolis5 - 1W
Aris: last 5
25 OctHAtromitos3 - 1W
25 OctHAtromitos3 - 1W
25 OctHLevante3 - 0W
18 OctAKifisia2 - 1W
18 OctAKifisia2 - 1W
Head to head
01 Mar 2026Panathinaikos3 - 1Aris
19 Oct 2025Aris1 - 1Panathinaikos
09 Feb 2025Aris2 - 0Panathinaikos
27 Oct 2024Panathinaikos1 - 1Aris
28 Apr 2024Panathinaikos0 - 1Aris
07 Apr 2024Aris0 - 2Panathinaikos
28 Feb 2024Panathinaikos2 - 0Aris
26 Nov 2023Aris2 - 0Panathinaikos
14 May 2023Panathinaikos1 - 1Aris
05 Apr 2023Aris0 - 1Panathinaikos
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away5.0020.0%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7526.7%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6660.2%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1546.5%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6859.5%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:52 UTC