| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.0% | 60% | -7.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.2% | 50.7% |
| logistic | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| Elina Svitolina | Karolina Muchova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1868 | 1898 |
| Surface Elo | 1868 | 1898 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | A | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Hanyu Guo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Liudmila Samsonova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | A | Aryna Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Caty McNally | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Diana Shnaider | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Caty McNally | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Elina Svitolina | 1 - 2 | Karolina Muchova |
| 18 Mar 2025 | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 1 | Karolina Muchova |
| 01 Jul 2019 | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 0 | Karolina Muchova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |